âIf youâre using an IDE starting on⌠Iâll give you till January 1st. Youâre a bad engineer.â
Thatâs a quote from Steve Yegge in his recent presentation with Gene Kim, âThe Death of the IDE.â Itâs provocative, sure. But after watching their presentation (their presentation is from 1:00:36 to 1:25:30), I fully agree with him.
They argue that we are in a transitional phase. AI tools are still a bit clunky, but a massive shift is imminent. And if we donât pay attention, we might end up like Swiss watchmakers in the 70s.
From Power Tools to CNC Machines
Steve uses a nice analogy. Right now, using AI tools like Claude Code is like using a power drill. Itâs better than a hand drill, but if youâre not careful, you can still cut your foot off.
But by next year? Weâre moving to CNC Machines.
Instead of manually operating the drill, we will simply provide coordinates to a âgiant grinding machineâ that executes the work with precision. We wonât be the ones doing the manual labor anymore. Weâll be the ones overseeing the machine.
This is our âSwiss Watch Moment.â Remember the quartz crisis? Swiss mechanical watchmakers were craftsmen, proud of their intricate work. Then came quartzâcheaper, faster, more accurate. They were made obsolete almost overnight.
Steve argues that senior engineers refusing to use AI are facing the same fate. The productivity gap is already staggeringâup to 10x for those using tools like Codex versus those who arenât.
The Rise of âVibe Codingâ
Gene Kim introduces the concept of âVibe Codingâ (and refers to their book Vibe Coding). Itâs the idea that coding is no longer about typing syntax by hand. Itâs an iterative conversation that results in AI writing your code.
He uses the FAFO framework to explain why this is taking off:
- F (Faster): Obviously.
- A (Ambitious): The impossible becomes possible. Leaders are building apps themselves.
- F (Free/Fun): Tedious tasks become âfreeâ and instant.
- O (Optionality): You can run more parallel experiments because the cost of trying is so low.
This is leading to a âNoDevâ movement, similar to âNoOps.â Weâre seeing support teams at Zapier shipping code and leaders at Fidelity âvibe codingâ fixes in days that were estimated to take months.
My Take: Hop Aboard or Get Left Behind
I really like the CNC machine analogy. The idea that in a year and a half, all code will be written by machines? Whether itâs 100% correct, Iâm not sure. But I do believe that we need to pick up the pace and hop aboard, because otherwise, you might be too late.
And seriously? It is fun using AI coding and seeing it work.
Steve thinks âClaude Code ainât itâ. CLI tools will be replaced by more potent tools where we manage our agents.
I think Anti Gravity from Google is already a step in that direction, but future tools will be even more powerful. We wonât use the CLI, but nice pleasant dashboards with good overview and easy to switch between agents.
The future is now and you need to hop aboard or get left behind. Are you ready to stop being a watchmaker and start running the factory?
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